According to the Sunday evening briefing, little has changed from the earlier update. The storm continues to move up the coast and will gain speed as it moves north. The official forecast calls for the storm to make landfall south of Wilmington, possibly in the area of the South Carolina/North Carolina border.
One of the main threats from this storm remains the possibility of tornados forming ahead of the storm, and away from its center. The briefer noted that the majority of tornado related deaths in North Carolina occur when a tornado strikes while people are sleeping; please be sure to activate any devices you may have to receive broadcasts of any warnings.
The extremely high risk of rip currents remains all week, and flooding rain, strong tropical storm winds and storm surge are all concerns. The storm is still expected to be fast moving, and impacts to North Topsail Beach will be felt Monday night into Tuesday morning. Inland, minor river flooding of the Neuse, Tar, and NE Cape Fear rivers can be expected later in the week. Impacts will be felt from the ocean side as the storm approaches, from the sound side as it exits the area.
AT THIS TIME forecasts are calling for an increase in Maximum Sustained Winds in our area to 62 mph, with maximum gusts of 77 mph. Rainfall is estimated at of 2”, and a surge of 1 – 2’ can be expected. While the forecast shows the storm tracking to the west of North Topsail Beach, it should be noted that even a slight change in the storm track could change impacts dramatically. Please continue to prepare and monitor local news and weather outlets.